Are Home Prices Approaching Bubble Territory?

Are Home Prices Approaching Bubble Territory?

Are Home Prices Approaching Bubble Territory? | Simplifying The Market

As home prices continue to rise, some are questioning whether we are approaching another housing bubble. Zillow just reported that:

National home values have surpassed the peak hit during the housing bubble and are at their highest value in more than a decade.”

Though that statement is correct, we must realize that just catching up to prices of a decade ago does not mean we are at bubble numbers. Here is a graph of median prices as reported by the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

Are Home Prices Approaching Bubble Territory? | Simplifying The Market

We can see that prices rose during the early 2000s, fell during the crash and have risen since 2013.

However, let’s assume there was no housing bubble and crash and that home prices appreciated at normal historic levels (3.6% annually) over the last ten years.

Here is a graph comparing actual price appreciation (tan bars) with what prices would have been with normal appreciation (blue bars).

Are Home Prices Approaching Bubble Territory? | Simplifying The Market

The Bottom Line

As we can see, had there not been a boom and bust, home values would essentially be where they are right now. If you’d like to learn more about your particular home value, neighborhood, Ann Arbor in general, or any Washtenaw County area, contact us at The Bouma Group, Realtors at 734-761-3060 or info@bouma.com today.

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